![]() 06/16/2015 at 17:48 • Filed to: None | ![]() | ![]() |
!!!error: Indecipherable SUB-paragraph formatting!!! to please the masses, I anticipate some skepticism from my fellow Jalops.
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This may be well deserved given the endless delays and opaque deadlines on the release of the Model X, battery swap stations and other things that have been announced with much fanfare from Tesla.
Just for fun, and maybe a beer if we ever meet in person, let’s wager here on Oppo just when the Model 3 will be available. To avoid any ambiguity with pre-orders, etc, let’s try to choose the date when the first one is expected to be delivered. Price-Is-Right rules in effect - closest without going over.
I’ll keep a running spreadsheet of dates that have been selected and by whom. My wager was 2nd quarter 2018 - but to be more specific I will go with May 13, 2018.
Let me know your choice in the comments and I’ll get a link to a google doc once we have some interest going and we want to keep track.
UPDATED
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, good luck to all and there are plenty of dates yet to choose! Listed in chronological order for ease of viewing.
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![]() 06/16/2015 at 17:51 |
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May 13, 2018
![]() 06/16/2015 at 17:52 |
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Dec 2019
![]() 06/16/2015 at 17:55 |
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September 2017
![]() 06/16/2015 at 17:58 |
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September 3rd, 2018.
![]() 06/16/2015 at 17:58 |
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October 1st, 2018
![]() 06/16/2015 at 17:58 |
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October 1st, 2018
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:01 |
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Specific date?
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:01 |
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Specific date?
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:02 |
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17th
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:02 |
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1st
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:08 |
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April 28, 2017.
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:16 |
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August 29th, 2018
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:29 |
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April 13th, 2018
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:38 |
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4th quarter 2018, Specifically November
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:43 |
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April 4th, 2018
Since I'm pretty sure I'll win (I never win things), just in case, wlow 636 at g mail dot com
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:45 |
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Sept 4th, 2018
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:50 |
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I’m going to go with December 21, 2019, that way they can just barely say it was “before 2020” but not before everyone goes on vacation for the winter holidays in the states.
![]() 06/16/2015 at 18:54 |
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October 3rd 2017
![]() 06/16/2015 at 19:56 |
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April 1, 2019.
$50k base price at a minimum...
![]() 06/16/2015 at 20:05 |
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November 6th 2017, I'm an optimist and by that point might legitimately be in the market for one :)
![]() 06/16/2015 at 20:10 |
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June 1st 2019
![]() 06/16/2015 at 20:20 |
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By the time demand settles down to a level that can keep up with supply? 2020.
![]() 06/16/2015 at 20:29 |
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This assumes you expect them to come out at the same time. I say January 17th, 2017 for the sedan, I bet the crossover comes out later.
![]() 06/16/2015 at 20:36 |
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1st delivery of the 3 sedan: 11/15/18
1st delivery of the 3 crossover: 12/1/19
![]() 06/16/2015 at 20:52 |
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July 30, 2018 - It’ll officially slide into H1 2018 sometime in early 2017, and they’ll just miss that.
![]() 06/16/2015 at 21:57 |
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Since knowbody else has claimed this date, I’ll take “Never”. Good luck trying to pick a date after mine.
![]() 06/16/2015 at 23:30 |
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23 October 2017.
![]() 06/16/2015 at 23:34 |
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Good point, I didn’t clarify but I bet your hunch is right on the sedan leading the way. For the sake of this endeavor let’s use the date of whatever arrives first.
![]() 06/16/2015 at 23:35 |
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Booooooo, we have our $1 bidder!
![]() 06/17/2015 at 08:39 |
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June 3, 2019
![]() 06/17/2015 at 08:46 |
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Model 3: they will deliver about 15 of them on December 18 2017 so they can say they released in 2017. Actual mass production won’t be out until September 1 2018 because of “issues”
![]() 06/17/2015 at 09:35 |
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February 5th, 2018.
![]() 06/17/2015 at 09:56 |
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March 20, 2018. The sedan will start at 37k, crossover at 39. They will be announced as having a range of 250mi, but obviously ymmv.
![]() 06/17/2015 at 19:36 |
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29 January, 2019
![]() 06/18/2015 at 10:43 |
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Going with April 4, 2018
![]() 06/18/2015 at 10:53 |
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April 4th and 13th of 2018 are already selected.
Second choice?
![]() 03/04/2016 at 13:45 |
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April fool’s day 2018.
Just take whatever date given by Tesla and add two years on top.
![]() 03/04/2016 at 15:24 |
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Feb 3, 2018 - my birthday!