![]() 04/18/2020 at 12:15 • Filed to: None | ![]() | ![]() |
The infinitely
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governor of Baja California,
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, joined the list of governors who are getting tired of the fed’s shit in Mexico. He said that federal authorities have been hiding the real number of cases in his state, this after also saying that the federal healthcare system is failing in the state. He said “doctors are being knocked out like flies.”
Other governors started complaining a long time ago. In Jalisco, governor Alfaro got into a fight with the feds over the availability of quick tests, and in Michoacan, governor Aureoles said that they were lying about the operability of a medical equipment repair shop that “doesn’t even have a desk.” Perhaps unintentionally, mayoress Sheinbaum of Mexico City indirectly contradicted the feds, as she revealed the number of ventilators used at the time in Mexico City, which was significantly higher than the number of ventilators the feds said were being used across the nation.
The thing that sets Bonilla apart from other governors (It’s important to clarify that the mayoress has comparable powers to a governor) is that he’s part of the president’s own party, and his fierce criticism of the fed’s response comes as a shock to many political commentators.
Incidentally, Baja California has one of the worst outbreaks of COVID-19 in the nation, with Baja California Sur having the worst one. Nuevo Leon and Jalisco, two states which insisted on preventative measures early on seem to have the slowest infection curves despite hosting Monterrey and Guadalajara (the third and second largest cities in the country respectively) inside their borders.
Using the same template as John Hopkins, Mexico’s National Autonomous University !!!error: Indecipherable SUB-paragraph formatting!!! that details the extent of the epidemic using the fed’s numbers:
It is very important to clarify that Mexico uses the sentinel model, which relies on estimates to count cases. As of now the sentinel model indicates Mexico probably has upwards of 55,000 cases of COVID-19, meanwhile only 6,875 cases have been confirmed through PCR tests, and the feds claim 20,000 suspected cases being investigated
. It’s evident the feds are tracking the disease too slowly as the rate of mild cases has gone down from an expected 80% to 64%, which probably correlates to tests being given to people who already feel very sick.
![]() 04/18/2020 at 15:08 |
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Do you feel the sentinel model downplays individual deaths and suffering from the disease by relegating a national crisis to statistics? I would be worried about the ability of that model to predict future spreading.
Stay safe out there, TAE.
![]() 04/18/2020 at 17:35 |
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The problem with the sentinel model is that the government decides the criterion, and while I don’t doubt the health secretary is navigating
this with the best intentions, it’s very easy to blind oneself to how big a crisis could be, and how some communities might have a faster spread than others. I feel like Mexicans aren’t taking this seriously enough, and that kinda includes the government as well.
![]() 04/18/2020 at 17:54 |
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Yes, that is one of the biggest concerns I have. If Mexicans aren’t taking it seriously enough, then a model that downplays the devastating effects of the virus on both an individual and community level will only perpetuate the attitude and cannot easily predict spreading on a local level.
Please keep us updated on the situation down south and stay safe.