"Manwich - now Keto-Friendly" (manwich)
11/16/2015 at 18:59 • Filed to: None
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"Manwich - now Keto-Friendly" (manwich)
11/16/2015 at 18:59 • Filed to: None | 4
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And you may ask... why?
Well I’m betting the Model X will be the next celebrity hipster must-have vehicle.
I also predict that it will pad Tesla’s revenue and may even result in them starting to turn a net profit.
Right now, Tesla’s income statement only reflects money being made off of the Model S... with all the expenses from updates to the Model S and developing the Model X.
I predict that once they have revenue coming from having two models on sale, it will have a very positive effect on their income statement and share price.
We shall see if I’m right in the coming months/years.
TheHondaBro
> Manwich - now Keto-Friendly
11/16/2015 at 19:06 |
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Nice! How many shares?
Biggus Dickus (RevsBro)
> Manwich - now Keto-Friendly
11/16/2015 at 19:10 |
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Congrats, but I certainly don’t Share your optimism. TSLA is a serious bubble just waiting to get popped. That’s not even mentioning the massive economic forces working against it at the moment.
ZHP Sparky, the 5th
> Manwich - now Keto-Friendly
11/16/2015 at 19:16 |
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Not a hater of the brand at all (actually own a few shares myself) but the logic might be a bit flawed. Theoretically all those things are already factored into the current stock price...the only way we’re going to see a good appreciation in price is if they significantly outperform what they’ve already been suggesting (and/or put out other significant game changers into the market that we aren’t aware of). Historically they’ve been pretty bad with production delays and various excuses for not meeting targets, so I’d be careful. Having said that - given all the hype around the company right now they’ll probably be fine in the short term and also in the long term as long as they manage to more or less stay on target (outside of a pretty severe economic correction in which case they would likely take a beating with the rest of them).
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Manwich - now Keto-Friendly
> TheHondaBro
11/16/2015 at 19:18 |
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Not too many...
It only accounts for less than one half of 1 percent of my total investment portfolio.
Saracen
> Manwich - now Keto-Friendly
11/16/2015 at 19:24 |
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Congrats. I bought Tesla a few years ago. I see no reason to let go of it any time soon.
edit: their expenses also reflect overhead involved in building the gigafactory, and early development of the Model 3.
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Manwich - now Keto-Friendly
> ZHP Sparky, the 5th
11/16/2015 at 19:30 |
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The production delays and the drop in energy prices have already knocked the share price down from a high of around $286 to the current $210-$215.
I view the real risk is in how well the Model X is executed when it goes on sale.
If it’s as well (or better) executed as the Model S was, I believe profit and a higher share price will follow.
Of course if they screw it up, it will be very bad...
And then there is the wildcard going on in the background... the Gigafactory to make batteries.
I don’t see it contributing much in the short term. But if they’re able to successfully compete in the conventional gas/diesel generator business, it could be very lucrative.
And another wildcard is energy prices. I believe energy prices will stay flat. But I also believe that we will see $100 oil again at some point... not a question of if, but when. And I believe that will be indirectly beneficial to Tesla.
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ZHP Sparky, the 5th
> Manwich - now Keto-Friendly
11/16/2015 at 19:33 |
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Agreed - I too think they should be able to make things work in the long run. So as long as you’re in it for the long haul it’ll probably be a good investment. Definitely a fair amount of risk, but that’s what you sign up for if you want big returns.
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Manwich - now Keto-Friendly
> Biggus Dickus (RevsBro)
11/16/2015 at 19:43 |
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You might be right. The economic forces are partly why the share price is ~$70 lower now than earlier in the year.
No way am I suggesting that Tesla is in any way a sure bet.
But apparently there are 30,000 Model X pre-orders... which is something like 3x the number of pre-orders the Model S had before it went into production.
If they screw up the launch of the Model X somehow, then it could be really bad for the share price.
But I didn’t bet the farm on this one stock.
Caleb "If a rally car can do it, so can my Malibu" M. S.
> Manwich - now Keto-Friendly
11/16/2015 at 20:02 |
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Welcome to the family! I bought in last year, and I’m not regretting it thus far.